Failed 2024

    Arrival

    Microfactories for EV production was an unproven concept that couldn't achieve economies of scale.

    Founded → Closed

    2015 → 2024

    Funding Raised

    $660M

    Industry

    EV/Automotive

    Country

    UK

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    72/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    45
    Burn Rate Risk
    85
    Founder Risk
    40

    Full Analysis

    Arrival, a UK-based EV company, promised to revolutionize manufacturing with small "microfactories" that could be deployed anywhere. Backed by Hyundai, Kia, and BlackRock, the company went public via SPAC at a $13B valuation. But the microfactory concept proved unworkable—each required significant capital investment but lacked the volume to achieve cost efficiency. After producing only a handful of prototype vans, Arrival pivoted to cars, then back to vans, burning through cash while never reaching series production. The company entered administration in 2024. The lesson: manufacturing innovation requires proven unit economics before scaling, not after.

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