Failed 2024

    Juul Labs

    A $38B e-cigarette company that hooked teenagers on nicotine faced total regulatory destruction.

    Founded → Closed

    2015 → 2024

    Funding Raised

    $15B

    Industry

    Consumer/Health

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    75/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    80
    Burn Rate Risk
    50
    Founder Risk
    45

    What Happened: The Timeline

    🚀

    2015

    Juul spins out from Pax Labs

    📈

    Dec 2018

    Altria invests $12.8B for 35% stake, $38B valuation

    ⚠️

    2019

    Youth vaping epidemic, FDA regulatory crackdown

    📉

    2022

    FDA bans Juul from US market (later stayed by court)

    💀

    2024

    Valuation under $1B, Altria writes off $11B+

    Root Causes

    Juul revolutionized vaping with its sleek nicotine pods, reaching a $38B valuation when Altria invested $12.8B for 35%. But Juul's popularity among teenagers triggered a massive regulatory crackdown. The FDA banned Juul from the US market (temporarily overturned on appeal). Altria wrote down its investment to nearly zero. Juul settled thousands of lawsuits for $1.2B and its valuation collapsed to under $1B. The company represents one of the largest value destructions in consumer product history.

    Sources & References

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

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