Failed 2024

    Opendoor

    iBuying houses with algorithms works in rising markets but creates massive losses when prices drop even 5%.

    Founded → Closed

    2014 → 2024

    Funding Raised

    $1.9B

    Industry

    Real Estate/iBuying

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    70/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    55
    Burn Rate Risk
    85
    Founder Risk
    25

    Full Analysis

    Opendoor pioneered "iBuying" — using algorithms to make instant cash offers on homes. The model worked beautifully in rising markets but created catastrophic losses when the housing market cooled in 2022. Opendoor lost $1.4B in 2022 alone as homes it purchased at peak prices sold at significant losses. While the company technically survives, its stock dropped 95%+ from SPAC peak and the iBuying model has been proven fragile.

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Opendoor.

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