Failed 2021

    Zillow Offers (iBuying)

    Zillow's algorithm overpaid for 65% of homes it bought. Lost $881M in Q3 2021 and shut down iBuying entirely.

    Founded → Closed

    2018 → 2021

    Funding Raised

    $0 (Zillow division)

    Industry

    Real Estate/iBuying

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    75/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    55
    Burn Rate Risk
    90
    Founder Risk
    25

    Full Analysis

    Zillow Offers was Zillow's iBuying division, launched in 2018. The Zestimate algorithm was supposed to accurately price homes for instant purchase. In reality, Zillow overpaid for 65% of homes it bought, accumulating $3.8B in inventory. In Q3 2021, Zillow lost $881M on iBuying and abruptly shut down the division, laying off 25% of staff and selling 7,000 homes at a loss. The lesson: real estate is too complex for algorithmic pricing at scale.

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Zillow Offers (iBuying).

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