Failed 2016

    Pebble

    Pebble pioneered smartwatches via Kickstarter but couldn't survive Apple's entrance into the market.

    Founded → Closed

    2011 → 2016

    Funding Raised

    $43M

    Industry

    Consumer Electronics

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    55/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    65
    Burn Rate Risk
    60
    Founder Risk
    15

    Full Analysis

    Pebble's Kickstarter campaign raised $10.3M in 2012 — then a record — proving demand for smartwatches. The company sold over 2 million units. But when Apple launched the Apple Watch in 2015, Pebble's limited resources couldn't compete. Fitbit acquired Pebble's IP for $23M in 2016 — a fraction of its potential.

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Pebble.

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