Failed 2020

    Quibi

    Even $1.75B in funding cannot create demand for a product nobody wants. Test assumptions before scaling.

    Founded → Closed

    2018 → 2020

    Funding Raised

    $1.75B

    Industry

    Media/Entertainment

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    82/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    15
    Burn Rate Risk
    85
    Founder Risk
    45

    What Happened: The Timeline

    🚀

    Aug 2018

    Quibi founded by Jeffrey Katzenberg & Meg Whitman

    💰

    Jan 2020

    Raised $1.75B total before launch

    📈

    Apr 6, 2020

    Quibi launches — 300K downloads on day 1 (vs. 7.5M for Disney+)

    ⚠️

    May 2020

    Retention crisis: 92% of trial users don't convert to paid

    📉

    Sep 2020

    Only 500K paying subscribers (target was 7.4M)

    💀

    Oct 2020

    Quibi announces shutdown, just 6 months after launch

    Root Causes

    Quibi launched in April 2020 with $1.75 billion in funding and shut down just 6 months later—one of the fastest billion-dollar failures ever. The platform offered "quick bites" of premium video content designed for mobile viewing. Despite legendary founders (Jeffrey Katzenberg, Meg Whitman) and Hollywood-quality content, users didn't materialize. The fundamental assumption—that people wanted premium short-form content on mobile—was never validated. YouTube and TikTok already served the short-form niche for free, while Netflix owned premium viewing. Quibi couldn't be shared on social media, had no TV casting, and launched during a pandemic when people had time for long-form content. The $1.75B burned proves that no amount of funding can create product-market fit.

    Key Lessons Learned

    1. Validate assumptions before spending $1.75B

    Quibi never tested whether consumers wanted premium short-form content on mobile. A $50K MVP could have revealed the lack of demand.

    2. Free alternatives kill premium content plays

    YouTube and TikTok offered infinite free short-form content. Competing with free requires extraordinary differentiation.

    3. Legendary founders ≠ guaranteed success

    Jeffrey Katzenberg (DreamWorks) and Meg Whitman (HP, eBay) couldn't override a fundamentally flawed product concept.

    Competitors That Won

    TikTok

    $300B+ valuation, 1.5B+ users

    Why they won: User-generated content, algorithmic feed, social sharing, completely free

    YouTube Shorts

    2B+ monthly users, dominant short-form

    Why they won: Built on existing massive platform, creator ecosystem, ad-supported free model

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Sources & References

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Quibi.

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