Failed 2023

    Bird

    Hardware-as-a-service in public spaces faces vandalism, regulation, and unit economics challenges that are nearly impossible to solve.

    Founded → Closed

    2017 → 2023

    Funding Raised

    $776M

    Industry

    Micromobility

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    78/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    60
    Burn Rate Risk
    90
    Founder Risk
    40

    Full Analysis

    Bird pioneered the dockless e-scooter revolution and was once valued at $2.5 billion. The company went public via SPAC in 2021 but filed for bankruptcy in December 2023. The fundamental problem was brutal unit economics: scooters cost $300-500, had an average lifespan of 3-6 months due to vandalism and weather, and generated only a few dollars per ride. Cities imposed increasingly strict regulations, fees, and fleet caps. Bird burned through cash expanding to 400+ cities while never achieving profitability in any market. The company also struggled with operational complexity—charging, rebalancing, and maintaining a distributed fleet of low-cost hardware proved enormously expensive at scale.

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Bird.