Failed 2021

    Katerra

    Vertical integration in construction is extraordinarily complex. SoftBank's massive checks enabled unsustainable growth.

    Founded → Closed

    2015 → 2021

    Funding Raised

    $2B

    Industry

    Construction Tech

    Country

    USA

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    76/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    50
    Burn Rate Risk
    90
    Founder Risk
    40

    Full Analysis

    Katerra aimed to revolutionize construction by vertically integrating design, materials, and building—essentially becoming the Apple of construction. SoftBank poured $2B into the vision. But construction is a fundamentally local, relationship-driven industry with thin margins and complex regulations. Katerra tried to do everything at once: build factories, develop software, manufacture materials, and manage construction projects. Quality issues, project delays, and massive overhead consumed cash faster than revenue could grow. The company filed for bankruptcy in 2021 with over $1.5B in losses. The lesson: vertical integration works in tech but can be catastrophic in physical industries with high complexity and low margins.

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Katerra.

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