Failed 2020

    Wirecard

    A DAX 30 company fabricated €1.9B in cash that didn't exist. Auditors (EY) failed for years to catch it.

    Founded → Closed

    2002 → 2020

    Funding Raised

    $1.8B+

    Industry

    Fintech/Payments

    Country

    Germany

    IdeaProof AI Failure Score

    95/100
    Market Fit RiskBurn Rate RiskFounder Risk
    Market Fit Risk
    60
    Burn Rate Risk
    40
    Founder Risk
    99

    What Happened: The Timeline

    🚀

    2002

    Wirecard AG incorporated in Germany

    📈

    2018

    Joins DAX 30 index, replacing Commerzbank — peak prestige

    💰

    2019

    SoftBank invests €900M via convertible bond

    ⚠️

    Jan 2019

    FT publishes exposés on accounting irregularities in Asia

    📉

    Jun 18, 2020

    EY refuses to sign off accounts: €1.9B cash is missing

    💀

    Jun 25, 2020

    Wirecard files for insolvency. CEO arrested.

    Root Causes

    Wirecard was a German payments processor that reached a €24B market cap and joined the prestigious DAX 30 index. In June 2020, auditor EY revealed that €1.9B in cash balances — representing a quarter of the balance sheet — "probably never existed." CEO Markus Braun was arrested; COO Jan Marsalek fled and remains a fugitive linked to Russian intelligence. The scandal was Europe's largest post-war financial fraud. FT journalist Dan McCrum had been reporting on irregularities since 2015, but German regulators (BaFin) investigated the journalist rather than the company. The lesson: when short-sellers and journalists raise alarms, regulators should investigate the company, not the whistleblowers.

    Key Lessons Learned

    1. Auditors can fail spectacularly

    EY audited Wirecard for over a decade without verifying €1.9B in cash. Trust but verify — especially auditors.

    2. Regulators can be captured

    BaFin banned short-selling of Wirecard stock and investigated journalists instead of investigating fraud allegations.

    3. Persistent whistleblowers are critical

    FT's Dan McCrum reported on Wirecard fraud for 5 years before the collapse. Investigative journalism saved future investors.

    Competitors That Won

    Adyen

    €45B+ market cap, profitable, serves Netflix/Uber/Spotify

    Why they won: Genuine technology platform, transparent financials, organic growth

    Stripe

    $50B+ valuation, dominant online payments

    Why they won: Developer-first approach, real product innovation, strong governance

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Sources & References

    Could This Failure Have Been Prevented?

    IdeaProof's AI validates market demand, competitive positioning, and business model viability in minutes — catching the exact issues that sank Wirecard.

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